First-principles fluid mechanics predicts what a high-velocity rifle round to a vascular neck target would produce. The recorded evidence shows none of it.
If that account is correct, the resulting hydrodynamic event has well-characterized signatures. These signatures are not optional — they are the consequence of pressure-impulse fluid mechanics, Rayleigh–Taylor instability, and Bernoulli–Torricelli flow.
They have been quantitatively characterized in the peer-reviewed forensic-fluids literature: Comiskey, Yarin, Kim and Attinger, Phys. Rev. Fluids 2016 and 2017.
Each derived from peer-reviewed work. Each predicts a specific, observable signature. Each independent of the others.
Bullet's potential-flow field accelerates blood at the free surface outward, against the bullet direction. Rayleigh–Taylor instability sets drop size and count.
Same Rayleigh–Taylor framework with a different geometry. Drag deceleration over the 61 cm flight to backdrop via Reynolds-dependent drag.
Torricelli–Bernoulli flow through a wound channel of bullet diameter, from a vessel at typical physiological pressure.
4.4 million droplets of 27–84 μm diameter, ejected in a wide ~57° cone toward the shooter.
With the shirt 5 mm in front of the skin and the wound site exposed, essentially every droplet reaches the fabric within 1–2 ms.
Dominant pattern: dense radial halo of fine, individually resolvable stains extending 2–3 cm from the bullet hole, fading into scattered satellite drops at the periphery.
~22 million drops of 19–460 μm diameter, ejected with the bullet wake in a tight ~15° cone, traversing the 61 cm gap to the backdrop.
Peak stain density at the geometric cone projection: 61 cm × tan(15°) = 16.3 cm radial from the bullet line.
The American Comeback banner and tent backdrop visible in multiple recordings should have caught the forward-spatter cone.
For an exposed neck wound at the prosecution's stated impact parameters, photographically resolvable blood (1 mL volume on the skin) should appear within:
| Vessel | vjet | Q (mL/s) | t to 0.1 mL | t to 1 mL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carotid (systolic, peak) | 5.72 m/s | 287 | 0.35 ms | 3.48 ms |
| Carotid (mean arterial) | 4.84 m/s | 243 | 0.41 ms | 4.11 ms |
| Carotid (diastolic, trough) | 4.49 m/s | 225 | 0.44 ms | 4.43 ms |
| Jugular (mean venous) | 1.42 m/s | 71 | 1.40 ms | 14.0 ms |
Expected delay to a photographically resolvable bloodstain: 1–5 ms for carotid involvement, 5–15 ms for jugular involvement.
Throughout the entire 461 ms window, the wound site is on exposed skin with no fabric obstruction. For an exposed vascular neck wound at the prosecution's stated impact parameters, this should not happen.
At a heart rate of 60–72 bpm, one cardiac cycle is 833–1000 ms. The observed delay corresponds to roughly half a cardiac cycle — a duration during which a real vascular wound would have produced visible blood within the first ~5% of that interval.
All three predictions fail simultaneously. The combination is what carries forensic weight, not any one signature.
If the wound channel missed both carotid and jugular, neither high-pressure jet nor venous flow is present. Visible blood would emerge only from minor capillary bleeding — on the order of mL per minute, not mL per second.
Accounts for: all three null observations simultaneously. Without a vascular reservoir to atomize, neither back-spatter nor forward-spatter can form, and there is no jet to produce rapid bleeding.
Caveat: a wound channel through the neck without striking either major vessel is geometrically possible but improbable for a high-velocity rifle round on the stated trajectory.
If vascular pressure had already dropped to zero before the moment marked as t=0, no jet flow would occur. Blood would emerge only by gravity drainage at speeds ≤ 1 m/s, producing slow welling rather than spray.
Consistent with: the decorticate posturing observed in video2_1.mp4 between F70 and F80 — a pre-existing brain injury or other cardiovascular collapse would explain absent vascular pressure.
Implication: requires the arrest to have preceded the apparent "impact" frame, contradicting the standard rifle-shot narrative.
If "first observable shirt movement" at Frame 68 is not actually the moment of bullet impact — if it is shirt motion from a localized internal event preceding any external projectile — then 429–461 ms is not measuring impact-to-bleeding.
Consistent with: the gas-before-mechanics observation in the main analysis — gas escapes the collar one frame before any mechanical displacement. The signature of an internal energetic event, not an external strike.
Note: this explanation requires a different mechanism for the visible blood at frame 81–82; it does not by itself eliminate the wound, only relocates the cause.
A localized internal energetic event at the RØDE Wireless PRO transmitter location, not an external projectile.
Source isolated to the upper chest near the lavalier microphone — not a transit through neck tissue.
Gas escapes through the collar one frame before mechanical displacement. Not a wake artifact.
4940 Hz Strouhal tone localized to ~3.3 m from the van — not 142 yards from the prosecution's claimed position.
None observed.
A non-projectile internal event produces no bullet wake through tissue, no major vascular jet, and therefore none of the three predicted hydrodynamic signatures.
The complete Python pipeline is downloadable below. Every parameter — impact velocity, bullet caliber, vessel pressure, standoff distance, ejected volume — is exposed at the top of the script. No hidden constants, no synthetic data, no fitted parameters. The predictions follow from the equations, the published calibration values, and the prosecution's stated impact parameters.